Nge-5 kaDisemba, ikamva leoli ekrwada kumazwe ngamazwe lehle kakhulu.Ixabiso lokuhlawula lekhontrakthi ephambili ye-US WTI yexesha elizayo leoli ekrwada yayiyi-76.93 yeedola zase-US / umphanda, phantsi kwe-3.05 yeedola zase-US okanye i-3.8%.Ixabiso lokulungisa inkontileka ephambili ye-Brent ye-oyile ekrwada yekamva yayiyi-82.68 yeedola / umphanda, phantsi kwe-2.89 yeedola okanye i-3.4%.
Ukuhla okubukhali kwamaxabiso e-oyile kuphazanyiswa ikakhulu yi-macro negative
Ukukhula okungalindelekanga kwe-US ISM non-mveliso index ngoNovemba, ekhutshwe ngoMvulo, ibonisa ukuba uqoqosho lwasekhaya lusazomelela.Ukukhula kwezoqoqosho okuqhubekayo kubangele iinkxalabo zemarike malunga notshintsho lweFederal Reserve ukusuka “kwihobe” ukuya “kokhozi”, nto leyo enokuthi iphoxe umnqweno wangaphambili weFederal Reserve wokuthoba isantya sokunyuswa kwenzala.Imarike ibonelela ngesiseko se-Federal Reserve ukunqanda ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kunye nokugcina indlela yokuqinisa imali.Oku kubangele ukwehla ngokubanzi kwii-asethi ezinobungozi.Izalathisi ezintathu eziphambili zase-US zonke zivaliwe ngokukhawuleza, ngelixa iDow yawa phantse amanqaku angama-500.I-oyile ekrwada yamazwe ngamazwe yehle ngaphezulu kwe-3%.
Liza kuya phi ixabiso leoli kwixesha elizayo?
I-OPEC idlale indima entle ekuzinziseni icala lokubonelela
Ngomhla we-4 kaDisemba, uMbutho wamazwe aThumela iPetroleum kunye namaqabane ayo (OPEC +) ubambe intlanganiso ye-34 yabaphathiswa kwi-intanethi.Intlanganiso yagqiba ekubeni kugcinwe injongo yokunciphisa imveliso ebekwe kwintlanganiso yokugqibela yabaphathiswa (ngo-Oktobha 5), oko kukuthi, ukunciphisa imveliso ngezigidi ezi-2 zemibhobho ngosuku.Isikali sokunciphisa imveliso silingana ne-2% yomndilili wemfuno ye-oyile yemihla ngemihla yehlabathi.Esi sigqibo sihambelana nolindelo lweemarike kwaye sikwazinzisa imarike ye-oyile esisiseko.Ngenxa yokuba ulindelo lwentengiso lubuthathaka, ukuba umgaqo-nkqubo we-OPEC + ukhululekile, imarike yeoli iya kuwa.
Impembelelo yokuvalwa kwe-oyile ye-EU eRashiya ifuna ukuqwalaselwa ngakumbi
Ngomhla wesi-5 kuDisemba, izohlwayo ze-EU kurhwebo lwe-oli elwandle lwaseRashiya lwaqala ukusebenza, kwaye umda ophezulu “womda wexabiso” wawubekwe kwi-60 yeedola.Ngelo xesha, uSekela-Nkulumbuso waseRashiya uNovak wathi iRashiya ayiyi kuthumela ioli kunye neemveliso zepetroleum kumazwe abeka imida yexabiso eRashiya, kwaye yachaza ukuba iRashiya iphuhlisa iindlela zokulwa, oku kuthetha ukuba iRashiya ingaba nobungozi bokunciphisa imveliso.
Ukususela kwindlela esabela ngayo kwimarike, esi sigqibo sinokuzisa iindaba ezimbi zexesha elifutshane, ezifuna ukuqwalaselwa ngakumbi kwixesha elide.Enyanisweni, ixabiso lokurhweba langoku le-oyile yaseRashiya yase-Ural ekrwada isondele kweli nqanaba, kwaye namanye amachweba angaphantsi kweli nqanaba.Ukusuka kulo mbono, ukulindela ukunikezelwa kwexesha elifutshane kunotshintsho oluncinci kwaye lufutshane kwimarike yeoli.Nangona kunjalo, xa kujongwa ukuba izohlwayo zibandakanya i-inshurensi, ezothutho kunye nezinye iinkonzo eYurophu, ukuthunyelwa kwe-Russian kumazwe angaphandle kunokujongana nemingcipheko enkulu kwixesha eliphakathi kunye nexesha elide ngenxa yokunqongophala kokunikezelwa kwamandla eetanki.Ukongezelela, ukuba ixabiso leoli likwitshaneli ekhulayo kwixesha elizayo, i-Russian counter-amanyathelo ingakhokelela ekunqanyulweni kokulindela ukubonelela, kwaye kukho umngcipheko wokuba ioli engcolileyo iya kunyuka kude.
Ukushwankathela, urhwebo lwe-oyile lwangoku lwamazwe ngamazwe lusekwinkqubo yobonelelo kunye nomdlalo wemfuno.Kunokuthiwa kukho "ukuchasana phezulu" kunye "nenkxaso phantsi".Ngokukodwa, icala lokubonelela liphazanyiswa ngumgaqo-nkqubo we-OPEC + wohlengahlengiso nangaliphi na ixesha, kunye nokusabela kwekhonkco okubangelwa izohlwayo zokuthumela ngaphandle kwe-oyile yaseYurophu kunye neMelika ngokuchasene neRussia, kwaye umngcipheko wokubonelela kunye nezinto eziguquguqukayo ziyanda.Imfuno isagxininiswe kulindelo lokudodobala koqoqosho, nto leyo iseyeyona nto iphambili yokuthoba amaxabiso eoli.I-arhente yoshishino ikholelwa ukuba iya kuhlala iguquguquka kwixesha elifutshane.
Ixesha lokuposa: Dec-06-2022